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CompuBox Breakdown: Santa Cruz vs. Frampton

For Santa Cruz to win he needs to follow the same game plan that has helped him win three divisional titles: Rev up his high-volume/high-accuracy offensive attack from the first second until the last and keep bombing away until Frampton falls or the final bell sounds. The only point of concern is Frampton's heavy hook to the body but as long as he uses his jab to keep Frampton at bay (Santa Cruz's reach is five inches longer), then he should be able to remain safe. For Frampton to win he needs to work inside Santa Cruz's reach and fire hard to the body with both hands. Should he establish a foothold inside, Frampton can concentrate on landing hooks and crosses over the top and using the jab to lump up Santa Cruz's facial tissues, which are unusually tender.


Our suggestion: Few play the numbers game better than Santa Cruz, who is coming off a sensational statistical performance against Kiko Martinez in which he averaged 120 punches per round and 49.6 total connects each round, nearly triple the featherweight average. Frampton isn't the sponge Martinez is, but Santa Cruz's output and size advantages should lead to a fairly comfortable but action-packed victory.

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